home *** CD-ROM | disk | FTP | other *** search
- <text>
- <title>
- Philippines: World Trade Outlook
- </title>
- <article>
- <hdr>
- World Trade Outlook 1992: Philippines
- Infrastructure Equipment is An Export Bright Spot
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>By George Paine
- </p>
- <p>U.S. exports to the Philippines in 1992 are expected to be only
- slightly above the 1991 level of $2.3 billion due to modest
- growth of the Philippine economy. We saw very strong growth in
- the late 1980s due to the economic recovery after the 1986
- change in government. After crossing the $2 billion mark for
- the first time in 1989, U.S. exports to the Philippines grew 12
- percent in 1990 and then declined 8 percent last year due to
- flat economic growth.
- </p>
- <p>U.S. exports 1991--$2.3 billion U.S. imports 1991--$3.5
- billion
- </p>
- <p> The overall slowing of the economy may reduce consumer goods
- imports in the near term. However, duties on most consumer goods
- are being reduced in stages from 50 to 30 percent over the next
- three years. Also, nearly all import license requirements, which
- had historically blocked consumer goods imports, have been
- removed.
- </p>
- <p> Two other recent changes are worth noting. A 9 percent
- temporary surcharge has been reduced to 5 percent. Also, the
- Philippine government has entered into a contract with Societe
- Generale de Surveillance (SGS), to implement a comprehensive
- import supervision system for the Philippines. All U.S.
- shipments to the Philippines are now subject to inspection at
- the port of shipment by SGS.
- </p>
- <p> Last year, economic expansion was hobbled by continued high
- inflation and interest rates and natural disasters, as well as
- necessary efforts to tame 1990's record fiscal and trade
- deficits. Investment flows were sluggish as investors took a
- wait-and-see attitude before making commitments.
- </p>
- <p> The gross national product grew only 0.1 percent in 1991,
- compared with 4.2 percent growth in 1990. The general economic
- outlook for 1992 is for modest expansion of between 2 and 3
- percent, spurred in the first half by election-related spending.
- Much depends on the ability of the next president to complement
- recent economic reforms with additional pro-business policies,
- and to deal with tenacious fiscal and trade deficits and large
- debt service burdens, both domestic and foreign.
- </p>
- <p> Regarding foreign investment, the Philippines' comparative
- advantages in labor and natural resources offer attractive
- investment opportunities in agribusiness and light
- manufacturing. While foreign businesspeople continue to complain
- of bureaucratic red tape, inadequate infrastructure,
- inconsistent policies and other problems, U.S. companies already
- present in the Philippines are generally profitable.
- </p>
- <p> The regulatory environment for investors is now substantially
- more attractive thanks to a new investment law. On June 13,
- President Aquino signed the new foreign investment law. For a
- three-year period beginning in November 1991, the Philippines
- became as open to foreign investment as all ASEAN countries
- except Singapore.
- </p>
- <p> Under the new law, foreigners will be permitted to own up to
- 100 percent of the equity in domestic market enterprises except
- for those included in the "negative lists" of industries. In
- the future, the Philippine Board of Investments (BOI), which
- had enforced past equity restrictions, will only rule on
- applications by foreign investors for investment incentives.
- </p>
- <p> There will also be opportunities for foreign investors to
- undertake build-and-transfer projects under
- build-operate-transfer (BOT) and legislation that came into
- effect in mid-1991. Assuming action is taken by the new
- Philippine Congress to identify eligible BOT projects, there
- should be increased demand as early as this summer for various
- types of infrastructure equipment, particularly electric power
- equipment and transportation equipment. The new private
- industrial estates, particularly in the Metro Manila area, will
- be significant import markets for similar infrastructure
- equipment.
- </p>
- <p> To assist U.S. companies, the Department of Commerce is
- sponsoring the following events for 1992: June 22-26, National
- Information Technology Conference/Catalog Show; July 1-4,
- ExpoChem Asia Exhibition; Aug. 6-9, Telecomex Asia 92; Nov.
- 12-15, Security and Safety Asia 1992 Exhibition. For details
- about these exhibitions, contact the U.S. and Foreign Commercial
- Service in Manila at fax 011-632-818-2684.
- </p>
- <p> For more information on the events listed above, and on
- business operations in the Philippines, contact the Commerce
- Department's Desk Officer on (202) 482-3875.
- </p>
- <p>Source: International Trade Administration, Business America Magazine
- </p>
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-